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NBA Draft Guide
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Written & Illustrated by Jackson Boake
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ower rankings are a fickle endeavor. I spent an indigent amount of time handcrafting the perfect formula -- one that strikes an immaculate balance between all of such relevant factors. And then I completely scrapped it.
Power Rankings are a fickle endeavor. I spent an unspecified amount of time meticulously crafting some sort of quantifiable criteria, only to throw it all away as a sunk cost — because let’s be real: Power Rankings never have a real criteria. So I’m going to begrudgingly lean into the impalpability here.
These rankings reflect some amalgamation of recent results, future projections, championship equity, and the likelihood of the pieces actually falling into place as intended. If that was hard to digest, here are some examples (with some spoilers): Boston takes a little dip because of their recent skid, even though I’d still pin them as title favorites. Philadelphia is probably higher on this list than most, if not all others on the internet. I’m willing to somewhat look past their cataclysm start because of their promising flashes of late and contingent full-strength upside (more on this in a minute). Houston’s durability, depth, and defense resembles your archetypal regular season buzzsaw, but their inexperience and, for lack of a better term, lack of a “top dog” renders me highly cynical of their championship ceiling—thus knocking them down just a bit here. And the “likelihood of the pieces actually falling into place as expected” hurts teams like the 76ers and the Clippers. Yes, these teams receive a boost for what they *might* look like at full power (Sixers with Embiid; Clippers with Kawhi), but no, I’m definitely not ignoring the overwhelming possibility that such scenarios remain merely hypothetical. I’ll attempt to rank them based on some intermediate between the ceiling and the floor. Teams like Orlando, on the other hand, feel like a far safer long-term health bet, so I’m tipping more towards their full-strength rendition in my assessment.
This gets real murky when the subcategories start counteracting each other. I think that Boston wields more championship equity than Cleveland, despite Cleveland (pretty irrefutably) boasting a superior night-to-night output at the present moment. In these cases, I’m defaulting to the team that’s better right now. In this case: the Cavaliers.
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#1
Alexandre Sarr
Big ... Perth | 19 yrs | 7-0 | 220 LBS | Selling Point: Defensive Versatility
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
17.2
PPG
9.7
.593
TS%
RPG
4.4
APG
0.9
1.3
BPG
2P%
.605
3PA
2.0
.298
3P%
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Defense is Sarr’s superpower, and it’s driven by a tremendous blend of length, mobility, and reactivity. He's equipped both physically and instinctively to oscillate between various pick n' roll coverages—deep and shallow drops, hedges, blitzes, etc. While there's an ineluctable inconsistency tied to his adolescence, he flashes an innate, advanced understanding of space and angles—which he uses to guide his moderation of the gap between the ball-handler and roller. He plays with high hands and quick feet, seamlessly transitioning in and out of traps and switches. Scheme-proof: Wields the requisite lateral quickness to slide with shifty guards on the perimeter. He's tailor-made for a switch-heavy defense, but he’ll thrive in drop coverage as well—at 7’1” with a 7’5” wingspan, his two-handed vertical contests make for an effective rim deterrent on their own. Ubiquitous weakside rim protector who warps space in a blink. Alert paint patroller—sees man and ball at all times and willingly flies out on shooters to cover for blown assignments. While raw, his traces of a diversified offensive skillset mirror the prototypical modern big man. He shot a tick below 30% from 3 in the NBL, but fluid mechanics and a respectable free-throw mark (71%) indicate untapped upside. He’s unlikely to ever consistently string together dribble-combos or manipulate defenders with nuanced fakes and hesitations, but he’s already capable of handling in space and executing live-ball reads from semi-congested areas of the court. Proper utilization will be key—while flashes of self-creation chops should be explored, Sarr’s toolsy skillset will be optimized in streamlined duties as a short roll playmaker. If his ball skills materialize, he boasts genuine upside as a suffocating downhill attacker who can both score at the rim and spray passes to open shooters. Rips defensive rebounds from the sky and delivers timely hit-ahead passes in transition. Ideally, he’ll land in an up-tempo ecosystem furnished with athletic running mates. My two cents: Sarr’s theorized range of outcomes projects the highest of this class. His limitations as a self-creator curb him short of archetypal top prospect, but it’s easy to envision Sarr’s multifaceted impact in high-leverage circumstances—especially given the overlap between his archetype and the premiums of the modern NBA.
Sarr is a player you’d love to bring up slowly while his skillset matures—a stark contrast to the expectation launched upon most top picks. He's suited to finish plays, not necessarily create them—rendering him incapable of pioneering an infrastructure unto himself, and instead, more of an enhancement to a preexisting foundation. Prepare yourself for some mind-numbing misutilization as a day-one pseudo-creator if he’s drafted into the wrong situation. His inside-out malleability narrows dramatically without significant strides as a shooter. The arbitrary threshold for floor-spacing viability continues to rise as defenses will happily sink on drives off of low-volume, moderately accurate three-point shooters. Ideally, Sarr becomes a Myles Turner-level shooter who commands attention 25 feet away from the hoop. His physical gifts won't be truly weaponized until his processing speed catches pace, particularly as a closeout attacker. Sarr must learn how to walk and chew gum at the same time—or in this case, how to simultaneously digest defensive shifts *and* make headway versus advantages by putting the ball on the floor. Right now, he lacks the capacity to do both. His propensity to tap the breaks when he's evidently overwhelmed serves as a "get out of jail free" card for scrambling defenses. Like most teenage super-giants, he suffers from a high center of gravity and lack of functional strength. He struggles to absorb contact as a rim finisher and often loses positioning battles as a low post defender and offensive rebounder. With time, I’m optimistic that physical maturation and weight training will alleviate most of these concerns.
#2
Reed Sheppard
Guard ... Kentucky | 19 yrs | 6-2 | 200 LBS | Selling Point: Two-Way Sharpshooter
offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
28.9
PPG
12.5
.699
TS%
RPG
4.1
APG
4.5
2.0
TOV
SPG
2.5
3PA
4.4
.521
3P%
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#3
Donovan Clingan
Center ... UConn | 20 yrs | 7-2 | 260 LBS | Selling Point: Mega Rim-Deterrent
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
22.5
PPG
13.0
.637
TS%
RPG
7.4
APG
1.5
0.8
TOV
BPG
2.5
FTA
4.0
.583
FT%
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Bonafide basketball savant, evidenced by both his sparkling statistical profile and his cool, unflappable demeanor as he unravels defenses at half-speed. Savvy, anticipatory playmaker who dishes scoring opportunities by roping passes into space like a quarterback—hitting teammates in stride with pinpoint accuracy. If he’s slotted off the ball, he’ll perpetuate the offensive flow as a connective tissue who makes timely decisions off the catch. His adaptability makes for an intriguing fit next to high-usage creators in the backcourt. Diverse shotmaker whose impeccable mechanics translate to spot-ups, stepbacks, dribble pull-ups, and movement jumpers. Pairs incessant movement with extensive range, amplifying offensive spacing without the ball while deploying his high, hasty release to punish split-second lapses. Ridiculous blend of volume (6.0 3PA/40 min.) and accuracy (52.1%) from behind the arc. Absolutely maximizes his defensive utility. Relentless, abrasive presence at the point of attack who leans on tremendous instincts to blow up handoffs and screening actions above the break. Master pickpocket—stockpiles steals in isolation by combatting crossovers with quick, low swipes. Stabilizing two-way presence who manipulates the tempo of the game. Competes relentlessly, but with a level-head—never makes mistakes.
Does he have the wiggle to assume full point-guard responsibilities as a rookie? Possesses the requisite dribble moves to navigate traffic but lacks the burst and sophistication to routinely burn defenders off the bounce. Unnerving ball handler against extended pressure with a natural inclination to retreat rather than attack. Struggles to bend defenses without a pre-created advantage. Lengthy defenders often swallow Sheppard in isolation—he’ll need to add quickness and soup-up his dribble package to scale as an initiator. 6’3” frame and analogous wingspan cap his defensive versatility. As good as he is on the ball, expect opponents to target his size with inverted pick n’ rolls headed by larger creators.
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#4
Colossal paint presence who completely shuts off the rim defensively. Prodigious shot-blocker—maximizes his 7’7” wingspan with beautiful timing and a disciplined understanding of the rule of verticality. Slashers will often abandon drives when they sense him lurking, triggering an exacerbating, destructive effect for opposing offenses unable to lure him away from the hoop. Vacuums rebounds to close possessions. Dominant pick n’ roll deterrent. Stifles the rim in deep drops while jamming lobs and pocket passes to the roller. In shallower coverages, he can slide his feet, flip his hips, and occupy ball-handlers momentarily before sinking back into the paint. Exhibited unsung improvements in his poise and self-governance as a Sophomore at UConn. Eluded foul trouble on most nights while slicing his turnover rate in half. Flashes skill and touch. Developed soft hook shots over both shoulders as a sophomore. Fluid ball-handler on the perimeter capable of running DHOs. Displayed refined, succinct shooting mechanics at the combine—perhaps he can sell teams on long-term upside as a spacer. Solid interior skillset, which renders itself incredibly effective given his size. Quick finisher who doesn’t bring the ball down on the catch. Trusty hands—snatches off-target passes and secures the ball in the short roll. Constantly relocates between the low blocks to maintain offensive spacing amidst drives and probes. Locates cutters with tight passes out of the low post. With his size, footwork, and viable processing speed, Clingan has intriguing potential as a back-to-the-basket operator if he can learn to leverage his strength.
Is the prototypical drop big an antiquated archetype come playoff time? ‘23-24 Rudy Gobert is an interesting case study: his 0.84 points allowed per possession guarding pick n’ rolls in the regular season ranked in the 74th percentile amongst qualifiers, but that number plunged into the 24th percentile in the postseason. Drop coverage is meticulously devised to surrender low percentage shots (floaters, pull-ups, etc.), but how does that gamble scale against the NBA’s most virtuosic shotmakers? Lack of lateral quickness is exploitable in space. Offensive gameplans will revolve around pulling Clingan away from the hoop and forcing switches, negating his superpowers and making him a pressure point rather than a force. Massive per-minute impact, but he was restricted to quick stints with UConn to mitigate fatigue issues. Exerts a lot of energy getting up and down the floor. Hit just 55.8% of his free throws in college—an oddly low mark given his soft touch. Expect some “Hack-a-Clingan” in his early years.
Stephon Castle
Guard ... UConn | 19 yrs | 6-6 | 215 LBS | Selling Point: Toolsy Competitor
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
27.0
PPG
11.1
.551
TS%
RPG
4.7
APG
2.9
1.5
TOV
2P%
.544
3PA
2.2
.267
3P%
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#5
#6
Possesses excellent size for a forward at 6’9” with a 6’11 wingspan. High release point demands genuine closeouts, which he leverages to generate driving lanes and paint touches. Defensively, he can switch across positions, disrupt ball-handlers with his length, and deter finishes as a weak-side rim protector. The ball never sticks with Risacher—he’s a decisive decision-maker who routinely executes quick swings to the open man or sharp straight-line drives against flyouts, depending on what the situation calls for. Shows flashes of a future three-point gunner. If his shooting potential materializes at the next level, he’ll warp the geometry of the court for a young team and accentuate the talent around him. His diversified dribble-creation arsenal and stretches of pinpoint accuracy with JL Bourg mirror legitimate sharpshooters. Sprints into movement 3s above the break and comfortably extends his range a couple feet beyond the NBA line. Takes a measured approach off the ball in the half court by either sinking into corners or drifting up to the wing off of teammates' drives, creating accessible kick-out windows for when the defense collapses. Ahead of the NBA’s evolutionary curve with his size, switchability, and shooting. He thrives in environments emblematic of the modern game: pace, space, varied defensive schemes, etc. His physical profile and robust complimentary skillset boast a high floor in critical moments.
Abstruse international shooting resumé characterized by fluctuating long-range accuracy and shaky touch from the foul line. Risacher’s long-term offensive projection banks on improved consistency as a floor-spacer. Is he a programmed shooter from specific distances, or does he have the feel and versatility to deviate? Simplistic two-point scorer lacking any form of intermediate counter. Pigeonholed as a straight-line driver by his lack of sophistication off the bounce, and even then, he rides his brakes and struggles to get all the way to the rim. Lacks poise, craft, and burst as an operator in traffic. Perhaps selective experimentation as a pick n’ roll ball handler can unlock certain skills, but he’s in the early adolescent stages of changing pace, jailing defenders on his hip, and dissimulating eye movements as a distributor.
#7
Shake-and-bake creator who pairs dazzling dribble moves with first-step quickness. Dillingham’s skillset makes him practically undeterrable in getting to his spots through various means, whether that be in high pick n’ rolls, DHOs, isolations, etc. He doesn’t just create shots—he makes them. Produced at a remarkably efficient clip in college given his advanced shot diet. If his contested shotmaking translates, his scoring will withstand even the best of NBA defenses. Showcased refined playmaking chops in his freshman year at Kentucky. Shockingly talented distributor with a sophisticated passing arsenal, especially after inflicting defensive shifts. He's comfortable firing inside-out wraparounds from beneath the hoop, imperceptible drop passes on the interior, and whizzing cross-court bullets when blitzed. Comfortably split ball-handling duties amidst a crowded Kentucky backcourt and seamlessly transitioned between offensive roles. While he's a lead guard by nature, he also employs a uniquely dynamic, malleable off-ball acumen with keen relocation instincts and the combination of spot-up prowess and quick-twitch athleticism to torch closeouts. His willingness to downshift in role, and his vigilance in doing so, is a testament to his character. Hopefully, these habits don’t deteriorate if he's thrust into an immature basketball ecosystem to start his career. Better-than-advertised interior scorer: he’s an ambidextrous, acrobatic finisher who contorts his body in the air to shield off larger defenders at the rim. Counters physical defense with calculated finesse—most evident when he pirouettes past bigger bodies and extends all the way to the glass to create finishing angles. Uses his remarkable verticality to flush epic dunks on occasion. Dillingham shows heart and hustle on the defensive end, both on the ball and in near-side help.
Inherently targetable defender. Teams will hunt switches on Dillingham due to his slight frame and short arms. Even versus guards, he’ll struggle to provide resistance on drives. Effort often borders on recklessness, as he’s shown a propensity to abandon fundamentals and overtrust his instincts—often producing frantic swipes at the ball or mistimed double teams when he vacates his match-up altogether. Dillingham’s drawbacks necessitate a strong defensive partner in the backcourt. As talented as he is, Dillingham’s size will pose scoring challenges around the hoop against NBA size. Needs to tidy up his execution on simple plays to solidify himself as a true point guard. While he's capable of threading tight windows at maximum focus, his haphazard routine passes often land inexcusably far from the strike zone.
Zaccharie Risacher
Forward ... JL Bourg | 19 yrs | 6-9 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: Supersized 3&D
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
22.7
PPG
11.1
.611
TS%
RPG
3.8
APG
1.0
1.5
TOV
2P%
.534
3PA
3.4
.424
3P%
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Robert Dillingham
Guard ... Kentucky | 19 yrs | 6-2 | 170 LBS | Selling Point: Skilled Creator
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
23.3
PPG
15.2
.595
TS%
RPG
2.9
APG
3.9
2.0
TOV
2P%
.495
3PA
4.5
.444
3P%
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Ron Holland
Wing ... Ignite | 18 yrs | 6-6 | 195 LBS | Selling Point: Two-Way Explosiveness
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
33.6
PPG
20.6
.579
TS%
RPG
6.6
APG
3.2
3.0
TOV
SPG
2.5
3PA
3.6
.240
3P%
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Imposing force on both ends. Pairs assertive slashes with forceful finishes through contact at the rim. Wields the functional strength to play through the chest of interior defenders. Relentless on the defensive end—eludes ball screens at the point of attack and suffocates drives with his length. Shapeable offensive threat who veers between roles and positions based on the needs of the team. Tasked with moving off the ball at UConn, where he generated scoring opportunities by knifing through gaps and relocating into vacant areas to exploit defensive shifts. Willingly conceded touches given the surrounding talent at UConn, but has been outspoken about his desire to play point guard at the next level and has the skillset to match. Trusty ball-handler who shields defensive swipes with his frame and executes simple reads at a high level. Developing pick n’ roll operator—routinely makes the right read but struggles to punish defenders for sliding under screens. He’ll probably never be a dominant initiator or advantage-creator, but projects to thrive as a connective distributor in an uptempo, motion-heavy offense. Excellent pick n’ roll defender. Expert screen navigator with effective rear-contests in drop coverage, but also more than capable of crossmatching onto bigger wings in switch-heavy schemes. Formidable corner-crasher on the offensive glass. Active, physical rebounder who exerts his size advantage over smaller matchups. He’ll burn guards who refuse to box out.
Unnatural shooter, evidenced by his clunky mechanics and low percentages at UConn. He’ll make savvy cuts from the perimeter when he’s ignored by his matchup, but even so, the floor will shrink considerably if he’s paired with other non-spacers. Needs to leverage a viable jumpshot to tap into his pick n’ roll potential. On the plus side, his soft floater/finishing touch offers long-term optimism. No defining offensive strength. Relatively simplistic creator and unimaginative playmaker who’s often restricted to his first or second read. Decisive first step, but lacks elite burst as a driver.
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#8
Matas Buzelis
Forward ... Ignite | 19 yrs | 6-10 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: Jumbo Ball-Handler
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
32.0
PPG
14.3
.543
TS%
RPG
6.9
APG
1.9
2.1
TOV
BPG
2.1
3PA
3.4
.273
3P%
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Survived the tribulations of a two-win Ignite squad before it was promptly banished from the face of the earth for its basketball sins. He was shoved into a misfitting role as a primary ball-handler, and yet, even in an offense suffocated by its own lack of spacing, produced. Sometimes, experience behind the eight-ball pays long-term dividends. Buries defenders beneath the basket with powerful, explosive downhill drives. In the half-court, he operates with high antennas off the ball, sniffing out opportunities for backdoor cuts and pouncing on rotating defenses with decisive drives. Foul magnet with undeterrable airborne momentum. Transition torpedo: blends blazing speed with tremendous beanpole strength, knocking retreating defenders off their path with burst and physicality. Blows up handoffs and PnR actions above the break with tantalizing physical tools and cunning anticipation. Equipped to switch 1-4, so long as he adds to his frame. Attentive help defender as well: wardens the weak side, detects cutters, and hunts hospital passes. Driving gravity shifts defenses out of shape, offering untapped playmaking upside if he can execute simple reads. Flashes extravagance as a transition passer as well.
Stiff shooter, especially in spot-up situations—a pressing issue given his projected role off the ball. Mechanics and release time need some major doctoring. The non-shooting wing is a provenly unsuccessful archetype in the modern NBA—Holland will need to defy recent precedent. Defenders will sink off his embryonic jumpshot, making it difficult for Holland to gain a consistent edge in isolation and pick n’ roll situations. Marrying his raw power with a more sophisticated handle will help him capitalize on conservative coverages. Daring playmaker without the refinement and spatial awareness to match. Overambitious attacker who struggles to decongest driving lanes with kick-out passes when defenses collapse. Averaged 3.0 TOPG with Ignite—a testament to both his own drawbacks and the surrounding offensive mishmash.
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#9
Fluid athlete with burst and flexibility at 6’10”. Flashes shades of a supersized point guard in the way he glides through space and maintains high speeds with the ball in his hands. Cut out for a wide range of offensive responsibilities—assertive off the catch, hunts cutting windows off the ball, and soaks up usage as an initiator when needed. Pounces on defensive seams with quick, slithery drives. Intriguing potential as an inverted pick n’ roll ball handler, an effective outlet for forcing switches and enabling downhill creation. Fell victim to an apocalyptic offensive structure with Ignite and, like Holland, really struggled to etch out quality looks from the perimeter. His shooting isn’t a lost cause: he starred as an impressive shotmaker in High School and still wows scouts with buttery mid-range stepbacks and the occasional three-pointer off the bounce. Coast-to-coast dynamo with a penchant for ripping rebounds and igniting offensive opportunities before the defense sets. Playmaking instincts and open-floor athleticism are well-fit to ramp up the pace. Excellent motor and feel when defending off the ball. Provides opportunistic backline help and times his contests to meet rim-finishers at the summit. Oozes with flare and gusto—an awesome asset if channeled correctly. Submerges defenders above the rim with emphatic dunks, followed by earfuls of s**t talk for his victims. Doesn’t duck smoke, doesn’t pull punches.
Enigmatic floor-spacer whose shooting woes with Ignite can’t be attributed solely to his situation. Needs to leverage spot-up shooting in order to attack closeouts and establish himself as a multifaceted pick n’ roll ball-handling threat. If the shot never comes around, he’ll struggle as both a self-creator and a complimentary piece off the ball. Struggles to hold his line on drives due to his slender frame and negligible physical strength. His loose handle in traffic and inability to withstand contact often results in turnovers when operating in traffic. Very prone to strips—posted a negative assist-to-turnover ratio with Ignite. Without space for a launching pad, Buzelis often fails to elevate and finish over/around/through giants around the hoop. Impressive above-the-rim prowess in transition outclasses his functional verticality in the halfcourt. Possesses much more defensive versatility in theory than in practice. Guards will exploit his heavy feet on the perimeter; bigs will bury him under the stanchion with brute force and emphatic seals. He just can’t crossmatch as desired by a rangy 6’10” athlete.
Devin Carter
Guard ... Providence | 22 yrs | 6-3 | 190 LBS | Selling Point: Talented Energizer
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
35.3
PPG
19.7
.567
TS%
RPG
8.7
APG
3.6
2.7
TOV
2P%
.563
3PA
6.8
.377
3P%
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#10
Nikola Topic
Point ... Mega + Zvezda | 18 yrs | 6-6 | 195 LBS | Selling Point: Playmaker
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
31.2
PPG
16.1
.604
TS%
RPG
3.4
APG
6.4
2.8
TOV
2P%
.688
3PA
4.1
.258
3P%
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Hypercharged competitor who would probably rather die than lose a basketball game. His psychotically motivated yet no-frills approach strikes a beautiful balance between vigor and discipline. This is most apparent on defense, but it trickles into his rebounding and playmaking as well. Master of the Kyle Lowry-esque dark arts (charge drawing, flopping, etc.)—a guy you love playing with, and hate playing against. Incarcerating point-of-attack stopper. Utilizes his disruptive instincts and massive 6’9” wingspan to suffocate ball screens and DHOs. Armed with tremendous power in his core and lower body, enabling him to barricade bigger guards in single coverage. His expanded license for creativity as a junior at Providence produced a more rounded, mature offensive toolkit. He’s a threat, at least to some extent, from everywhere on the court. He can slash, shoot, run pick n’ rolls, and make quick live-ball reads. Assertive transition scorer who translates swipes and deflections into points at the other end. Massive strides as a long-range gunner. Drilled almost 38% of his three-pointers on impressive volume (6.8 3PA/G) as a junior. I love using rebounding statistics with guards as a barometer for energy and intuition; it was one of my main draws to Brandin Podziemski in last year’s draft. Pound for pound, Carter is an upper-echelon glass eater. He vacuumed in 8.7 RPG as a junior, ranking first among all NCAA Division I players under 6’5—and Carter measures just a hair over 6’2” without shoes!
Spotty history as a shooter proceeding his junior-year breakout. Suffers from some concerning mechanical hitches in his low, deliberate release. It’s unlikely he’s ever a consistent pull-up shooter, but his spot-up proficiency will be a key bellwether for his impact as a pro. Wasn’t a consistent three-point threat until his promotion to a full-fledged offensive engine—will his touch and feel wither away in a lesser role off the ball? A bit of a tweener on offense—not a natural facilitator, nor is he big enough to pair with most playmaking guards. Ideally, he could grow into a point guard, but he doesn’t boast the hasty processing speed of most lead NBA table-setters.
There’s madness in the way Topic skates from end to end with the ball, and yet, a methodical deliberation in the intertwined head fakes, crossovers, kick-outs, and dump-offs. Fluid, undetectable accelerations and decelerations formulate efficient shot-creating and turnover-proof interior passing. Rookies scarcely toe the line between power and finesse as rim finishers, but Topic strikes a rare balance. Sensational footwork and ambidexterity generate unique scoring angles around the rim, and quick shoulder drops into opposing defenders create contact and free-throw opportunities. Displays massive upside as a transition orchestrator. He blends pace with control, computing holistic floor reads and dishing pinpoint dimes while zipping through space. He’s an excellent quick-hitting passer as well, delivering timely “hot potato” style passes off the catch—a Lonzo Ball signature.
Poor three-point shooter. His newfound willingness to attempt three-point shots (4.5 3PA/G) is a positive indicator, but he connected on just 25.8% of such tries in ABA competitions this year. Mechanically, he’s stiff, laborious, and suffers from a low release point. Defenses will sag in isolation and slide underneath ball screens without the threat of a jumpshot. Free throws (86%) are his redeeming quality and provide optimism for improvement. Scouts have posed questions regarding the translatability of Topic’s unorthodox creation methods. Without overhauled dribbling mechanisms and seismic growth as a shooter, his inability to tapdance behind the perimeter and create horizontal space will likely cap his overall ceiling as a scorer. Topic’s defense wanes with effort, but he’s demonstrated the ability to stay in front of the ball on the perimeter. He’s 6’6” but plays below his height and length—a lean frame and high center of gravity handicap his ability to crossmatch in switch-heavy schemes. If he can add weight and increase his effort, Topic projects to hold his own defensively. Expected to miss the entirety of his rookie season with a partially torn ACL. We may not see Topic in an NBA uniform until Summer League in 2025.
THE NOTEPAD ...
a break from the action
This is easily the nerdiest section of the Draft Journal. Every player is a product of circumstance to some degree; while hyper-analyzing the individual attributes of these prospects is awesome, projecting development without acknowledgment of auxiliary factors is simply impractical. Members at every level of an NBA organization—from coaches, to trainers, to executives, to equipment managers—are tasked with nourishing and maximizing talent.
The Notepad outlines my idealized utilization of the top-10 prospects. I touch on potential team-building maneuvers, play calls, defensive schemes, etc. designed to accentuate signature skills and team-wide synergy. For a materialized example of this in the NBA, watch how Sacramento pre-creates advantages and shooting angles for Keegan Murray to match his skillset as a play-finisher. The contrary? Oklahoma City represses Josh Giddey's effectiveness as a playmaker by confining him to the corners on offense.
Please enjoy! Find more of my traditional prospect analysis below this section.
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alexandre sarr
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Short-roll playmaker
Sarr has the tools to become a weapon in the short-roll, especially if he's paired with Trae Young in Atlanta. He covers ground with the ball in a hurry. When he attacks, he can leverage his length and explosiveness to collapse the defense and spray passes to shooters.
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High pick n' roll operator
Pick n' rolls are most often heightened above the break in response to extended defensive pick-up points caused by a flamethrowing ball-handler. With Topic, it serves a different purpose by manufacturing a runway for him to rev his engine and get downhill, where he's at his best.
nikola topic
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Attacking gaps in five-out
Holland is able to weaponize his handle, burst, and wiry strength when operating in space. In a five-out offense, he'll impel defensive scrambles by pressuring the rim and kicking to shooters. His drawbacks as a floor-spacer are also less detrimental without another clog in the paint.
ron holland
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Quick reads in '0.5' offense
Recent teams, such as Monty Williams' Suns
and Darko Rajakovic's Raptors, have adopted
an offensive methodology founded on decisions made in "0.5 seconds or less." Dillingham thrives
in constant motion; he'll be at his best flowing into DHOs and locating cutters/shooters on kickouts.
rob dillingham
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Spacing alleviator
I took a different angle here. Risacher's skillset will dilate the workspace and aid the nurturing of young talent. Take the Pistons; his shooting gravity will decongest driving lanes for Cunningham, Ivey, and Thompson—who can reciprocate the favor by touching the paint and kicking out to shooters.
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zaccherie risacher
Zone killer from the free-throw line
Buzelis has the tools to dismember 2-3 zones from the free-throw area. While his three-point touch is a work in progress, he's far more comfortable spotting up from inside the arc. He possesses the length and playmaking instincts to sniff out double-teams and fire passes to open shooters.
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matas buzelis
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reed sheppard
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Inverted pick n' pop screener
Sheppard's skillset is tailored to facilitate inverted pick n' roll/pop sets as the screener. His prowess
as an above-the-break flamethrower and closeout-attacker demands defensive surveillance at all times; thus, defenses will be forced into switching, rather than hedging and recovering as preferred.
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Switching everything on D
Castle tilts games as a defensive incinerator when he's unleashed. The best way to hit his metaphorical red button that blows up screening actions and dribble handoffs above the arc? Commit to a switch-heavy defensive scheme that weaponizes his aggression.
stephon castle
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Filtering penetration
The Rudy Gobert-anchored Utah Jazz defense fixated amongst the league's best in limiting three-point attempts by amplifying ball pressure on
the perimeter and funneling opponents to their shot-stuffer in the paint. Expect Clingan to serve a similar role as the ultimate safety valve on defense
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donovan clingan
DHO-mania
Collier is a bulldozing lateral initiator who uses long strides and powerful shoulder bumps to knock defenders off their path and pressure the paint. I love the prospective fit with Miami (picking 15th), where he can create such opportunities in dribble handoffs with Bam Adebayo.
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isaiah collier
The narrow talent discrepancy, or flatness, of this draft pool makes the prospects outside of the top 10 that much more significant. Some flash (potentially far-fetched) glimpses of future stardom, while others boast "superstar role-player" upside.
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#11
Dalton Knecht
Wing ... Tennessee | 19 yrs | 6-6 | 215 LBS | Selling Point: Athletic Gunner
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
30.6
PPG
21.7
.578
TS%
RPG
4.9
APG
1.8
1.7
TOV
2P%
.499
3PA
6.5
.397
3P%
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Cody Williams
Forward ... Colorado | 19 yrs | 6-8 | 190 LBS | Selling Point: Dexterous Slasher
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
28.4
PPG
11.9
.620
TS%
RPG
3.0
APG
1.6
2.0
TOV
2P%
.588
3PA
1.7
.415
3P%
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#12
NBA-ready marksman primed to make an immediate offensive impact, so long as he’s not overstretched in his role. I have Knecht as my 11th-ranked prospect, but he’s a player I’d look at in the mid-lottery for teams with a preexisting offensive infrastructure. His focused perimeter skillset fills a defined day-one niche—perhaps grounds for Rookie of the Year candidacy in a weaker class? Scintillating shotmaker with pinpoint accuracy from all areas of the court, both off the catch and off the bounce. Beautiful hesitation move—either a means of flowing into his jumper or leveraging his first step and the threat of his shot to get downhill. Balanced, squared-up shooter on the move who projects as a threat in in flares, pin-downs, floppy sets, etc. Versatile finisher. Powers through smaller defenders on the interior and elevates above the rim to create favorable scoring angles. Tight handle in traffic. He’s not a dizzying creator by any means, but his ball skills lend themselves to effective straight-line drives off closeouts.
Really struggles to contain the ball on the perimeter. Expect opposing NBA offenses to deliberately pull Knecht into spread pick n’ rolls with his man as the screener, forcing him to either switch onto a guard, hedge and recover, or slide laterally in a drop—all of which are outside of his comfort zone. Gifted with loads of on-ball reps with Tennessee, but lacks the roundedness to initiate NBA offense on a regular basis. Doesn’t shift defenses on the bounce, nor does he consistently execute advanced playmaking reads. Given his lack of wiggle, he’ll need to learn to manipulate pace in order to create shots off the bounce. The Chicago Bulls are slotted at pick 11—Knecht would benefit as a DeMar DeRozan understudy, where he could absorb clever methods of manufacturing advantages: hostage dribbles, decelerations, etc. At 23 years old, he’s closer to a finished product than most prospects; not an inherently “bad” trait, but a reality that ultimately lowers his ceiling.
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Rangy slasher, courtesy of his 7’1” wingspan and deft touch. Contorts and extends for feathery finishes in traffic. Fluid dribbler who slithers through seams and manipulates defenders with clever dribble moves. De facto point forward upside, given his handle and comfortability operating in the pick n’ roll. Impressive accuracy, albeit on low volume, as a distance shooter with Colorado. Started the season red-hot but cooled considerably; 17/41 in aggregate. Defensive strengths derive from unique physical characteristics. Plugs gaps and suffocates passing lanes with his long arms. Long-term upside as a weakside rim-protector, given his length and intuition. Boasts upside for limitless defensive versatility *if* he adds a ton of strength. He has an excellent foundation of length, hustle, and instincts—he’s just too thin to guard big forwards and will struggle to withstand the lower center of gravity of explosive guards. Younger brother of budding superstar Jalen Williams, making him an enticing option with the 12th pick for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Lack of weight/strength limits numerous facets of his game. Flimsy driver who gets knocked off his path and stonewalled by contact near the hoop. Defensive versatility narrows with his slight frame. Currently a non-factor on the boards. Unable to hold his position, elevate vertically, and snatch the ball at its apex without getting overpowered in the process Not an NBA-ready shooter. Slow release kills his volume, as he attempted just 1.7 3s per game with Colorado. Defenders stay grounded on closeouts against him because of his reluctance to rise up over the top. Without the threat of a shot, point-of-attack defenders will simply slide under ball screens with Williams at the helm. The playmaking upside is more theoretical at this point. In order to create open looks for teammates, he’ll need to learn to bend a defense and attract extra defenders. Negative assist:turnover ratio with Colorado. Needs to etch out a defined role within an NBA offense, which I’m not sure exists for him at the present moment. Shaky shooting provides opposing defenses with a scot-free outlet for extra help on drives, making him an awkward fit off the ball. Not skilled enough, nor physically equipped to serve as an initiator. These issues will have to iron themselves out as he progresses.
#13
Jared McCain
Guard ... Duke | 19 yrs | 6-2 | 200 LBS | Selling Point: Savvy Sharpshooter
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
31.6
PPG
14.3
.611
TS%
RPG
5.0
APG
1.9
1.3
TOV
2P%
.521
3PA
5.8
.414
3P%
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#14
Isaiah Collier
Guard ... USC | 19 yrs | 6-4 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: Rim Pressure
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
30.0
PPG
16.3
.567
TS%
RPG
2.9
APG
4.3
3.3
TOV
2P%
.543
3PA
3.0
.338
3P%
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Veteran demeanor: tough as nails, but plays with poise, patience, and jubilance at the same time. Balances precaution with assertiveness by attacking advantages and executing mature floor reads. Spirited, prideful defender who gets low and slides his feet. McCain’s mentality ensures that he'll fulfill his potential, whatever that may be. Absolutely one of the top snipers in the draft class. Transition gunner, both off the catch and the dribble, who comfortably extends his range well beyond the college three-point line. Readily capitalizes on defensive lapses in PnRs and DHOs by sitting behind screens and launching triples. Malleable shooter with conducive mechanics for movement 3s, impressive accuracy on mid-range pull-ups, and the release speed to split tight shooting windows. Smart, active, fundamental defender at the point of attack. Mirrors opponents with brisk anticipation to compensate for his lack of high-level agility.. Preserves the offensive flow by making quick decisions off the catch. McCain is at his best when the defense is forced into rotation—he’ll either bury spot-ups or attack closeouts and pressure the paint. Deceptive physical strength, which he leverages to play through the chest of taller defenders on the interior. A trip to the Jalen Brunson School of Nuance would offer legitimate upside as a three-level creator.
How well can a 6’2” guard without elite burst or an advanced handle consistently create offense against the best athletes in the world? Relies on his strength to bully his way into the paint, as he’s not quick enough to earn an edge without an advantage. Unless he scorches the sun as a shooter, he probably caps as a complimentary piece—a completely manageable reality with proper utilization. Projectable growing pains as a below-the-rim finisher against NBA size. He’ll need to expand his ingenuity with both hands around the hoop if he wants to score with volume and accuracy from all three levels. Lack of playmaking prowess at his height necessitates a unique backcourt partner equipped with size and initiator skills. You don’t want McCain playing next to a 6’0” guard, but pairing him with a non-creator narrows your collective ability to bend a defense.
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Skull-mashing downhill driver who weaponizes every pound of his robust frame to bury smaller matchups. Lowers into defenders to create space before extending to the rim or decelerating into short-range floaters. Giant killer: powers through the chest of long, wiry rim protectors and absorbs auxiliary contact. High free-throw rate. Finesse playmaker. Inventive distributor in traffic with the dexterity to rifle passes through narrow windows at various angles. Frequently touches the paint and pressures the rim on drives. Starred as an advantage-creator at USC, but his teammates lacked the off-ball utility to consistently capitalize. Collier projects to enforce defensive shifts and unlock play-finishers at the NBA level. Unique defensive strengths for a point guard, given his width and core strength. Physical parallels to Jrue Holiday.
Venturesome passer to a fault, who grapples with competing motives of limiting turnovers yet maintaining his signature dynamism. He’ll make for a capricious point guard at the next level if he’s unable to temper his ambition and make simple reads when called upon. Soft mid-range touch doesn’t translate to the free-throw line—shot just 67.3% from the stripe at USC. Not a bad three-point shooter, per se, but prone to chilly stretches throughout the season. Undesirable complimentary skillset limits his offensive malleability. Struggles to move off the ball as a spot-up threat and low-usage playmaker. Defensive intensity and discipline fluctuate within games. Lacks the lateral quickness to slide with quicker guards. Often freelances off the ball, rather than plugging gaps and sticking to his man.
#15
Bub Carrington
Guard ... Pitt | 19 yrs | 6-4 | 190 LBS | Selling Point: Mid-Range Playmaker
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
33.2
PPG
13.8
.530
TS%
RPG
5.2
APG
4.1
1.9
TOV
2P%
.511
3PA
6.1
.322
3P%
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#16
Tidjane Salaun
Forward ... Cholet | 19 yrs | 6-10 | 220 LBS | Selling Point: Physical Freak
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
22.7
PPG
9.0
.507
TS%
RPG
4.0
APG
1.0
1.2
SPG
2P%
.425
3PA
4.2
.329
3P%
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Deluxe shotmaker crossed with an imperturbable floor general; at his best, he’ll churn buckets in any context while shepherding an offense with his passing. At 6’5” with a +4 wingspan, there’s an inevitability to his scorched-earth midrange prowess. Elevates for delicate, roof-grazing jumpers in traffic and out of the pick n’ roll. Converted non-rim 2PA at a wildly impressive 51% clip as a freshman at Pitt. Pick n’ roll savant—probably his most translatable NBA skill out of the gate. Digs into his bottomless bag of tricks to manufacture crevasses of open space. Armed with wicked counters for drop coverage, as he’ll jail the chasing defender on his back hip before rising over the top into jumpshots. If the big rises to the level of the screen, he marries his height with fluent playmaking chops to scope out open shooters and rim-rollers. Averaged 4.1 assists to just 1.9 turnovers in college—a positive mark for a freshman guard. Comfortably extends his shooting range off the dribble. Totaled over 6.5 3PA per 36 minutes in college.
Passing itself is an isolated skill, but rounded playmaking necessitates collapsing a defense to unlock advantages. Carrington struggles to surpass defenders without screens, traverse the paint, and pressure the rim; thus, he isn’t able to consistently create drive-and-kick opportunities for teammates. His grounded, low-lying interior approach rarely draws multiple defenders. Collegiate shot diet—low rim frequency, loads of deep 2s—isn’t necessarily conducive to efficient scoring. Underwhelming 53% TS at Pitt, but perhaps this improves in a scaled-back role. DeMar DeRozan/Jimmy Butler syndrome: airborne two-part release is ill-suited for catch-and-shoot 3s. Carrington was a more efficient long-range scorer off pull-ups than spot-ups, which potentially hampers his suitability for a complimentary role off the ball. Slight frame limits his switchability on defense. Needs to add muscle in order to hold his line and absorb contact as a finisher.
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The premier upside swing of this year’s class. Akin to a moldable ball of clay—raw in all areas, but with tangible traces of a diversified skillset that can be nourished and cultivated with proper care. Flashes ball skills, perimeter touch, off-ball scoring, and multipositional defensive chops. Salaun’s development path will sway with both his individual skill progression and the situation he’s drafted into. Legitimately gigantic forward at 6’10” with a fillable frame who can adapt to a myriad of roles all over the court. In the Finals, Jayson Tatum’s versatility as a supersized wing allowed Boston to switch pick n’ rolls and nuked Dallas’ go-to channel for creating mismatches. Salaun, a physical unicorn in his own right, can potentially fill a similar role if he masters the nuances of NBA defensive coverages. Combats defensive shifts with assertive cuts and savvy relocations along the perimeter. His feel and vigilance exceed your typical project-type prospect. Ceaseless work ethic—a key constituent for blossoming prospects with room to grow. High activity role player for Cholet Basket who battles in the trenches and hits the deck for loose balls.
The “two years away from being two years away” paradigm. Salaun’s development will necessitate multitudes of patience from teammates, coaches, and executives. He’s currently a half-baked master of none, lacking polish and discipline—a recipe for disaster in high-leverage scenarios until he takes some major strides. Unrefined self-creator who struggles to string together dribble moves. Doesn’t really know how to protect the ball—loose handle often escapes him on crossovers in traffic, where he fails to use his size as a shield. Worrisome shot chart brimming with blue in all areas except the top of the key. Some highlights: 30% on corner 3PA, 19% in intermediate 2P zones, and 55% at the rim. His nonexistent malleability illustrates a complete lack of touch—a rather innate attribute that’s difficult to override, and a crucial ingredient for success as a play-finisher. Abandons fundamentals when guarding the ball and navigating screens. Frantically over-rotates his hips and lifts out of his stance as opposed to staying low and sliding laterally. He’ll need to tidy up some mechanical issues in order to truly realize his defensive potential.
#17
Yves Missi
Center ... Baylor | 20 yrs | 6-10 | 235 LBS | Selling Point: PnR Defender
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
22.9
PPG
10.7
.622
TS%
RPG
5.6
APG
0.4
1.1
TOV
BPG
1.5
2P%
.614
.616
FT%
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#18
Zach Edey
Center ... Purdue | 19 yrs | 6-8 | 190 LBS | Selling Point: Size
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
32.0
PPG
25.2
.659
TS%
RPG
12.2
APG
2.0
2.3
TOV
BPG
2.2
2P%
.624
.711
FT%
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Tremendously versatile defensive big equipped for various pick n’ roll coverages. Flips his hips like an NFL cornerback to provide resistance when defending at the level of the screen. In deeper drops, he uses his shot-blocking to deter layups and floaters while simultaneously sniffing out dump-off passes to the roll-man. Intriguing flashes of face-up creation skills. He capitalizes on the runway he’s given as a non-shooter by stringing together crossovers, spin-moves, and in & out dribbles. Committed screen-setter who knows how to time his rolls into open space. If he can pair his traces of ball handling with improved passing, he’ll thrive spraying out to shooters or attacking downhill in the short roll. Devastating lob threat—expansive catch radius, launches from beyond the restricted area, and armed with the requisite strength to maintain his verticality through contact. Maniac on the offensive glass, but executes unyielding boxouts to facilitate rebounding opportunities for teammates on the other end.
Pairs a misplaced guide hand triggering side-spin on his jumpshot with a glaring lack of touch from all over the court, which, together, offers virtually zero long-term shooting upside. Similar drawbacks translate to his interior repertoire, where he doesn’t wield the soft hooks and floaters to score over opposing rim protectors. Manipulative maneuvers of savvy guards will exploit his foul-happy nature. Too often bites on fakes and abandons his verticality in pursuit of emphatic, soul-crushing blocks.
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Kel'el Ware
Center ... Indiana | 20 yrs | 7-0 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: Athletic Floor-Spacer
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
32.2
PPG
15.9
.621
TS%
RPG
9.9
APG
1.5
1.9
BPG
2P%
.609
3PA
1.3
.425
3P%
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#19
One of the most polarizing, contentious evaluations of the draft. Physical behemoth who absolutely maximizes his size at 7’4”, 300 lbs, with a 7’11” wingspan. Sheer dominance at Purdue: averaged 22 PPG & 13 RPG on 64% TS as a junior and 25 PPG & 12 RPG on 66% TS as a senior. Possessing gargantuan size is one thing, but using its full breadth to tyrannize opposing gameplans meticulously designed to stop you is another. Devastating roll-man who sets brutalizing screens, rolls with purposes, and hauls in passes with his enormous wingspan and magnetic hands. Tremendous gravity as a roller vacates driving lanes for ball-handlers. Masters all the niche skills that translate interior touches into points: soft hands on the catch, keeps the ball high, and elevates over defenders for deft hook shots. Lives at the charity stripe—a byproduct of his colossal frame, duplicitous head-fakes, and unrelenting physicality. Nails free throws at a 71% clip. Tailor-made for drop coverage against pick n’ rolls. With the proper scheme and personnel, Edey can anchor a stifling interior defense. Insane conditioning. Sprints up and down the court every possession, despite carrying a massive offensive workload while sustaining ceaseless attacks on the other end. Nightmarish matchup on the offensive glass due to his overwhelming strength and workhorse mentality. Grueling, reliable competitor with a chip on his shoulder. Missed just one game in his four-year college career.
Has the methodical, larger-than-life big man gone extinct? Is Edey entering the NBA 15 years too late? He flips from a brutalizing interior force into a massive liability if the game-flow flips out of his favor. Opposing gameplans will surely revolve around pulling Edey as far away from the hoop as possible in an effort to both nullify his size around the rim and exploit his lack of mobility. His lateral speed tested above expectations at the combine, but he can’t slide with ball-handlers at all in games. Stiff hips on the perimeter—he’ll need to bank on his ridiculous length to provide any resistance. Against shooting bigs, he’s prone to death by pick n’ pop. He'll need to shake the "archaic" tag as he tries to flip the script on the modern game. I’m not buying the live-ball shooting hype. Free throw touch is a positive indicator, but he’s never, ever experimented with anything near the perimeter in a real game. Banked in his only 3PA at Purdue. Enters the pros with a lot of mileage—a potential concern given the medical track record of size anomalies in the NBA. He’s shown incredible durability up to this point, but will it last?
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Modernized archetype starring freakish athletic measurables (100.0 combine score; all-time record amongst centers) and genuine floor-spacing upside. He boasts feathery three-point touch with a high release point. Cashed over 42% of his triples this past season—albeit at low volume (40 3PA), but impressive nonetheless. He’s well-equipped to thrive in spread, uptempo basketball ecosystems of 2024. Skill-wise, he’s your template pick n’ roll/pop big. Dynamic above-the-rim finisher who lifts off from far outside the restricted area and detonates through contact; a savvy guard will help create these opportunities in the short roll. Lethal pick n’ pop upside. While most of his 3PA come off open spot-ups, projectable skill development and hastened release speed will widen the diversity of his shot profile. Uber-efficient in the intermediate/short range areas; an incredible indicator for touch and dexterity. Extends over defenders for gentle hooks/floaters in traffic—another enhancer of his short-roll upside. Gazelle-like strides and capable ball-handling as a closeout-attacker. If he’s able to leverage a more formidable shot, the threat will multiply.
Chronic ball-watcher who suffers from inexcusable lapses in focus. Essentially sidelines himself when knocked out of position rather than clawing back into plays. Jump-and-snatch rebounder who loses sight of his matchup and scarcely boxes out. Sets half-hearted picks, then releases prematurely as a roller. He’ll vacuum offensive fouls on screens until he cleans up his timing and technique. Hazardous playmaker who rushes kick-outs. Doesn’t exude trustworthiness with the ball in his hands.
#20
Terrence Shannon Jr.
Guard ... Illinois | 23 yrs | 6-6 | 220 LBS | Selling Point: Scorer
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
33.9
PPG
23.0
.622
TS%
RPG
4.0
APG
2.3
2.0
TOV
2P%
.573
3PA
6.7
.362
3P%
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Hypercharged downhill scorer with the burst and strength to consistently turn the corner and get to his left hand at the rim. Powerful finisher with drizzles of craft and flexibility. Elevates for thunderous dunks in traffic. Foul magnet. Operated as a primary creator with Illinois, but I’m excited to see him flow into drives off the catch in a more off-ball role. Vastly improved shooter who continues to take strides in his volume and accuracy each year. He’s assimilated dribble pull-ups into his shot profile, diversifying the means of his perimeter attack. Specializes in areas conducive to efficient scoring: high-frequency rim-finisher, foul drawer, and three-point shooter. 62% TS this season. Boasts the athletic makeup to swing games with his physicality. Defensive energy and effort levels fluctuate, but alleviated offensive duties could unlock his inner menace at the point of attack. Hunts momentous chase-down blocks in transition. Perhaps he weaponizes his vertical explosiveness as a corner-crasher on the offensive glass.
Banks on his size and athleticism to either posterize or circumvent defenders at the hoop, but he’ll need to add dexterity on floaters/teardrops to conquer NBA rim protection. Drop coverage may expose his lack of intermediate counters. Poor defensive character in adverse situations. Checks out after high-usage offensive possessions. Abandons his stance and commits silly fouls out of frustration. Gifted a blank canvas with limitless creative freedom at Illinois. He’ll have to adapt to a lesser role within team concepts. Almost 24 years old. He blossomed in his later college years—another dramatic skill leap is unlikely.
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Ja'Kobe Walter
Guard ... Baylor | 19 yrs | 6-6 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: Athletic Floor-Spacer
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
32.3
PPG
14.5
.541
TS%
RPG
4.4
APG
1.4
1.3
TOV
2P%
.432
3PA
6.3
.341
3P%
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#21
Dynamic, inevitable long-range scorer. Silky mechanics, high release point, and 6’10” wingspan are conducive to difficult shotmaking over outstretched contests. If he can complexify his handle, Walter has go-to self-creation upside from the midrange and three-point land. Imposing driver who draws fouls by playing through defenders around the rim. Between his shooting viability and assertive straight-line attacks, Walter has gobs of potential as a closeout-attacker—equipping him for a role within a modernized drive-and-kick offense. Untapped defensive upside if he can learn how to maximize his physical attributes. Wields the tools to become a disruptive chaser in pick n’ rolls who skirts screens and offers effective side-contests with his long arms. Provides high-intensity on-ball defense as well, often amplifying his ball pressure beyond halfcourt. Even outside of his shooting and athleticism, there are other ways in which Walter can impact the game. He’s an emotional competitor with mastery over intangibles such as hustle, leadership, and timely corner-crashing.
Extremely inefficient two-point scorer barren of any form of nuance or sophistication as a finisher. Some ghastly numbers: 46/99 (46.5%) at the rim and 69/163 (42.3%) on field goals inside the arc with Baylor. It’s a strange hole in his game—time will tell if it’s fixable or simply an innate fault. Frequently crushed by screens at the point of attack, perhaps due to his over-fixation in the ball-handler. He’ll need to improve his peripheral intuition in order to become a true positive on defense. Embraces physicality, but limited by his slighter frame and lack of strength. He’ll need to fill out the frame in order to fit within switchy defensive schemes.
Tristan Da Silva
Forward ... Colorado | 19 yrs | 6-6 | 210 LBS | Selling Point: 3&D
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
33.8
PPG
16.0
.606
TS%
RPG
5.1
APG
2.4
1.8
TOV
2P%
.559
3PA
4.8
.395
3P%
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#22
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High floor in a defined role offensively—plays off the ball, knocks down 3s, and flashes connective playmaking in scramble situations. Pinpoint accuracy from beyond the arc when left alone; shot 31/64 (48.4%) on unguarded C&S this season at Colorado, per Synergy. Not a self-creator, but more than capable of putting the ball on the floor to perpetuate advantages; thus widening his overall offensive utility. Fires crisp one-handed passes through tight windows to hit shooters off paint touches while also mixing in a share of interior drop-off passes. Opportunistic cutter. Darts to the rim and seals off his defender, then finishes with quick moves over either shoulder. His post-scoring arsenal is unsophisticated but effective in punishing smaller defenders. Sound team defender who nails rotations off the ball and boasts unique schematic malleability deriving from his physical attributes. Well-equipped to switch ball screens with his rangy frame and lateral agility.
Limited potency off the bounce; an amalgamation of his unrefined pull-up shooting and lack of burst to consistently gain an edge in isolation. Converted just 4/19 off-dribble 3s this season. He’ll cap out as a complementary piece in NBA offenses, and his efficiency could falter if he’s drafted into a situation where he’s asked too much of. Unexplosive vertical athleticism, narrowing his effectiveness as a weakside rim-protector despite his savvy rotational instincts. Some power forwards will outclass him physically, while others will sky over his head to snatch contested rebounds.
#23
Pacome Dadiet
Guard ... Ratiopharm | 20 yrs | 6-8 | 225 LBS | Selling Point: Roundedness
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
14.9
PPG
6.6
.618
TS%
RPG
2.3
APG
0.6
0.8
TOV
2P%
.622
3PA
2.3
.358
3P%
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#24
Ryan Dunn
Forward ... Virginia | 21 yrs | 6-10 | 230 LBS | Selling Point: Defensive Phenom
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
27.5
PPG
8.1
.564
TS%
RPG
6.9
SPG
1.3
2.3
BPG
2P%
.618
3P%
.200
.532
FT%
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“Five-tool” upside as a prospective shooter, passer, dribbler, rebounder, and defender at 6’8”—though he has a ways to go before it all comes to fruition. Intensified his rounded contributions over the course of the season in a reduced role with Ratiopharm Ulm in France’s LNB Pro B league. His skillset offers both a steady production baseline and booming upside as a do-it-all wing. Impressive touch inside the arc, denoted by his 70% and 51% conversion rates at the rim and in the mid-range, respectively. Pairs decisive attacks with his choice of ambidextrous finishing and silky pull-up jump-shooting. Thrives off pre-made advantages, but wields the burst and ball-handling skills to gain an edge as a straight-line creator as well. Active mover without the ball who seeks openings on the arc and as a cutter. He knows when to flash into open space, which is crucial in thriving off the gravity of stars; see Jrue Holiday in Boston, Bruce Brown in Denver, etc. The hope is that his wherewithal scales into on-ball playmaking as well.
Lacks a defining skill. Unsophisticated dribble-creator who needs to deepen his bag of tricks. Not a knockdown perimeter shooter. Doesn’t really commit himself as a rebounder. The defense is still a question mark—he has the size and fluidity to guard multiple positions, but his moderate lateral agility and upright posture are exploitable in space. His star upside banks on significant improvement in all categories. Peculiar inconsistencies from beyond the arc. Flamethrower from the right side (48%), average from the center (34%), and erratic from the left side (26%). Evaluations are rooted in a small sample of data, and thus, we’re projecting a theorized version of Dadiet more than we’re evaluating a current on-court product. Visibility bias goes both ways, though: perhaps he’d be a surefire lottery selection with more exposure.
The best defender in the draft. Multipositional stopper who suffocates guards with his length and forwards with his lateral agility. Given his remarkable peripheral intuition and instantaneous reactivity, Programmed with the technological paraphernalia of a Ring surveillance camera: remarkable peripheral intuition, instantaneous reactivity, surveils the entire court as a help defender. He’s fit for any role, whether it’s shutting down a primary creator, freelancing in space, or oscillating between responsibilities within possessions. I’m searching for offensive strengths here…he’s active? Doesn’t really have a role on that end, but he keeps the ball moving and knows how to position himself on the interior for easy finishes. Perhaps he’s able to play center in a pinch against smaller lineups—an idea that becomes far more practical on a team like the Knicks or Celtics with strong positional rebounding on the wing. Sticking him on the interior offensively while unleashing him on the backline of a switch-everything defense may be the best way to veil his weaknesses and maximize his strengths. I’d love to see him in “Grenade DHO” actions where he dribbles upwards from the post into handoffs in guards, then rolls hard to the rim. There are ways for coaches to weaponize the space given to non-shooters when they’re supplemented with dynamic personnel. (Jaw-dropping, soul-sucking performance against my Demon Deacons. Terrorized our guards on the perimeter while deadbolting any and all airspace around the rim. I’m sticking to my better judgment and putting this as a strength.)
Leaps and bounds away from impacting the game offensively. His porous shooting and undeveloped ball skills will be a huge spacing detriment and a constant source of defensive help. It’s vital that Dunn lands in a uptempo offensive system where he can blend in as a screener and finisher. Can his game scale to the playoffs, where intricate opposing gameplans will be meticulously tailored to exploit his offensive drawbacks?
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Kyle Filipowski
Big ... Duke | 20 yrs | 6-10 | 230 LBS | Selling Point: Versatile Skillset
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
30.4
PPG
16.4
.567
TS%
RPG
8.3
APG
2.8
2.1
TOV
2P%
.559
3PA
3.1
.348
3P%
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#25
A modern variant of your prototypical Duke big-man. Compliments above-the-break actions by utilizing his ball-handling and fluidity to dribble into ball-screens and handoffs. Against favorable matchups, he’s an assertive face-up creator who can string together crossovers and spin moves to get two feet in the paint and collapse the defense. Viable pressure release as well: capable of breaking full-court pressure by taking the ball up against bigs and initiating offensive sets. Shooting upside. Excelled from the charity stripe as a freshman (76.5%) and the perimeter (34.8% on 3.1 3PA/g) as a sophomore. Pick n’ pop threat. Diversified toolkit offers intriguing optionality for coaches. His playmaking skills can blend within the framework of virtually any offensive system. Anticipatory, coordinated defender who can step out to the perimeter versus pick n’ rolls and DHOs. Moves all over the floor: everpresent on the backline, cuts off driving lanes, and crashes the glass. His versatility will age favorably with the NBA’s super-spaced, perimeter-oriented trajectory.
Needs to tidy up his offensive discipline. Loves targeting cutters with daredevil passes but lacks the requisite high-level timing and accuracy to thread narrow windows. His projectible growing pains against NBA length will necessitate patience from the team that drafts him, though his growth as a decision-maker in his second season at Duke is a promising indicator moving forward. Lacks the strength and physicality to score through size at the rim. Doesn’t really understand how to leverage power, so he’s often suffocated on finishes. Filipowski’s offensive utility will bank on a respectable jumpshot, which is far from a sure thing given some of his inconsistencies at Duke. Staggered flashes of accuracy from the foul line and perimeter were bestrewn with struggles—converted just 28.2% of his 3s as a freshman and 67.1% of his free throws as a sophomore. Needs to affix his above-the-break ball handling with the threat of a jumpshot. If not, his value plummets. Has some soul-searching to do defensively, as it’s unclear which pick n’ roll coverage he’s equipped for. He’s not an explosive vertical threat, so he may struggle in deep drops. Does he have the quickness to extend up to the level of screens? Time will tell.
THE NEXT GIANNIS ...
a break from the action
... doesn't exist in this class.
This section heading is clickbait, but identifying unrefined freaks of nature oozing with untapped open-floor potential is a fun exercise nonetheless. The superstardom of Giannis Antetokounmpo is the king of all outliers for this archetype, but perhaps ingenious utilization and cutting-edge player development can tap into the upside of some of this year's specimens.
I've pinpointed six players in this class with distant shades of the Greek-Freak, ranging from lottery picks to second-round fliers. Again, Giannis is one-of-one: an irreplicable talent who exhibited unparalleled transformations in both his skillset and his body. Please don't take this too seriously.
The qualifying attributes for those highlighted in this section are as follows:
- A tantalizing blend of size and mobility
- Functional ball-handling with room for continued growth
- Flashes of creativity and gusto
Alexandre Sarr is my top-ranked prospect and the first name worth mentioning here. He's an agile 7-footer with unique burst and flexibility at his size, while also possessing an intriguing inventory of dexterous dribbling moves. Sarr's run-jump-and-dunk viability provides a solid offensive baseline, but his developing ball skills boast an exceptionally high ceiling.
Tidjane Salaun is a supersized forward with rumored interest as high as the mid-lottery; a product of his size + athleticism combination and upside as a shooter and handler. It's tough to project which role he blends into down the line, but if he hits on his development, things could get scary.
Yves Missi is a personal favorite of mine. He'll likely hear his name called towards the end of the first round, but I've graded him just outside the lottery. His experimentation with faceup creation at Baylor yielded some eye-popping moments, especially for a player with just six years of basketball experience. Even if this specific playtype doesn't translate for Missi, you'd hope that these skills would be applicable in certain situations—transition, short-roll playmaking, etc.
Bobi Klintman is a fun swing for big-wing aficionados. He diverges from these names as more of a perimeter-oriented half-court operator, but his rangy build and transition slashing draw parallels to the rest of this ambiguously defined group. He's frequently mocked to Milwaukee at 23, which begs the question: would he thrive under the tutelage of Giannis himself? Plus, he scores bonus points as an ex-Demon Deacon.
Johnathan Mogbo is blowing up statistical models with his tenacious rebounding (14.1 per game) and ... playmaking intuition? Mogbo makes absolutely zero sense: he's a 6'7" center with a ginormous 7'2" wingspan who blends surprising dribbling and passing chops with a complete lack of shooting touch. Is he a broke man's Giannis? A poor man's Draymond? Quincy Acy? The jury's still out.
Ulrich Chomche is a fascinating project who expects to garner some buzz in the 40s and 50s. He's incredibly raw and unlikely to see any NBA action in the near future, but I'd be comfortable gambling on his amalgamation of mobility and touch with a late draft pick. There's a solid chance Chomche ends up on the market as an UFA after not being picked at all.
That concludes this summer's "next-Giannis" directory. Honorable mentions to Kel'el Ware and Adem Bona as well—both were heavily considered for this prestigious list. I've got a first-round grade on five more prospects, so let's continue on!
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Johnny Furphy
Forward ... Kansas | 19 yrs | 6-8 | 200 LBS | Selling Point: Big Shooter
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
24.1
PPG
9.0
.609
TS%
RPG
4.9
APG
1.0
0.8
TOV
2P%
.642
3PA
3.8
.352
3P%
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#26
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NBA teams covet wings with size, shooting touch, and sharp instincts; and Furphy is just that. He pairs a fillable 6’8” frame with fluent perimeter skills and solid off-ball chops on both ends. At Kansas, he starred as a spacer and play-finisher who scarcely deviated from his responsibilities. He’s an intriguing plug-and-play option for teams picking in the later half of the first round, while also boasting untapped upside, given his physical stature and ascending skillset. Thoughtful approach to low-usage perimeter duties, which he blends with shooting viability to open up the floor for teammates. Counters overambitious help defense by sinking into deep corners to make himself available for kick-out 3s. If he’s overplayed, he’ll flash to the paint with high hands and scoring intent. Strong intangibles. Transition hustler, active rebounder, and altruistic extra-passer. Soft touch with both hands around the rim—a somewhat rare commodity for younger, perimeter-oriented prospects.
He’s a “3&D” player, but with prominent caveats in both his “3” and his “D.” As a non-factor on 3s off the dribble (1/6) and off screens (2/19), he showed very little shooting versatility at Kansas. You could argue that his cumulative 35.2% clip from the perimeter was inflated by disproportionately high volume from the corners. On the other end, a non-plus wingspan and limited athletic juice cap his ball containment, screen elusion, and weakside rim protection. He’s smart and perceptive at the point of attack but lacks quickness in mirroring shifty offensive movements. In order for Furphy to stick in the NBA, he’ll likely need to hit as both a spacer AND a defender. The auxiliary areas of the game aren’t good enough to compensate if he doesn’t. Very limited experience as an initiator and pick n’ roll ball-handler. Some of this can be attributed to his reduced role at the the collegiate level, but he doesn’t project to consistently create offense at the NBA level regardless.
#27
DaRon Holmes II
Big ... Dayton | 21 yrs | 6-10 | 230 LBS | Selling Point: Two-Way Versatility
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
32.5
PPG
20.4
.627
TS%
RPG
8.5
APG
2.6
2.1
BPG
2P%
.585
3PA
2.5
.386
3P%
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Transcendent statistical profile as a scorer and defender, encapsulated by his 12.3 BPM as a junior—fifth amongst NCAA Division I qualifiers. Expect Holmes, a proven producer who projects to scale favorably into a complementary role, to garner a lot of interest from contenders seeking insurance in the frontcourt. If he hits on his potential, he’ll protect the rim, space the floor, and seamlessly slide between the forward and center spots—emblematic of the idealized modern big man. Spreading his wings as a perimeter shooter. Buried north of 38% of his three-point tries this season on legitimate volume (2.5 3PA/G) as the focal point of Dayton’s offense. Perhaps a reduced role yields more open looks as well. Experimented with ball-handling duties in face-up isolations and inverted screen-and-roll actions. The product? Tangible strides in his ball-handling and table-setting. While it’s highly unlikely that he soaks up creator usage in the NBA, perhaps these skills pop specific scenarios; whether it’s dissecting zone defenses from the middle, making plays out of the short roll, or attacking closeouts from the perimeter. Explosive, perceptive leaper who stuffs shots into the third row. Masterfully salvages disadvantageous positioning by recoiling for second and third jumps to deter multiple shots at the rim. Timely sense for when to rotate—skirts out to the perimeter to cover for his teammates’ botched defensive assignments, then bolts back into the paint to stifle drives. Averaged 2.1 blocks per game over his three-year college career. Switchable defender in spots. Slides his feet and keeps his arms extended.
It’s unclear how Holmes’ switchability translates to guarding in dilated space against quicker perimeter players at the NBA level. He routinely sacrificed an edge on switches at Dayton but compensated with his shot-blocking—a tough gamble against steeper competition. While committed to sliding laterally, he’s slowed by heavy feet, struggles to rotate his lower body, and is hampered by a hunched posture that resembles more of a throwback big man. He made just 39 3s in 102 games in college and converted below 70% of his free throws, so the jury’s still out on the legitimacy of his jumper. Also worth noting: it’s easier to hit shots when you’re constantly involved offensively. Can he activate his shooting touch in a reduced role? A four or five-man in theory, but possibly more of a tweener in reality. Can he space the floor and guard the perimeter like most forwards? Are his rebounding and physicality equipped to match up with bruisers at center? Needs to develop a more discernable process of locating his matchup and boxing out before leaving his feet to collect boards.
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Kyshawn George
Wing ... Miami | 20 yrs | 6-7 | 200 LBS | Selling Point: High-Feel Shooter
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
23.0
PPG
7.6
.582
TS%
RPG
3.0
APG
2.2
1.5
TOV
2P%
.467
3PA
4.2
.408
3P%
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#28
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Silky shooter with extensive range. Opportunistic on spot-ups, but distinguishes from catch-and-shoot specialists in his fluidity when launching off the dribble. He’s comfortable flowing into difficult shots off pull-ups and size-ups—perhaps signaling long-term upside as a self-created shotmaker. Flashes intriguing point skills, rooted in his experience as a lead guard before a dramatic high school growth spurt. Though he was constricted to a predominantly off-ball role with Miami, he flexed his playmaking intuition as a connector by blending quick reads with zippy passes in advantage situations. He’s not a sophisticated ball-handler, but he’s more than capable of executing simple moves and pushing the pace in transition. Promising combination of length and activity on the defensive end. Adding strength and quickness may unlock multipositional versatility.
Though his mannerisms are smooth and agile, he lacks functional athleticism. Banks on difficult shotmaking in isolation to compensate for mediocre first-step quickness. Slight frame renders him liable to losing his line as a driver. Frequently stonewalled at the rim—a byproduct of his inability to absorb contact. He’ll need to transform his body in order to become a plus defender. As an unimpressive lateral athlete, he’s shakeable at the point of attack. Neither thick enough nor a good enough rebounder to match up with larger forwards. Needs to supplement his ball skills with coordination and comfortability in using decelerations and hostage dribbles to manipulate pace. Holds a constant speed to a fault when running pick n’ rolls. He can dribble and pass, but won’t excel as a playmaker until he’s able to strain defenses by pressuring the rim.
Baylor Scheierman
Guard ... Creighton | 23 yrs | 6-7 | 205 LBS | Selling Point: Connective Offense
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
36.8
PPG
18.5
.596
TS%
RPG
9.0
APG
3.9
2.2
TOV
2P%
.545
3PA
8.3
.381
3P%
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#29
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Jaylen Wells
Wing ... Washington St | 20 yrs | 6-7 | 200 LBS | Selling Point: Versatile Spacer
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offensive prototype
defensive prototype
MPG
29.2
PPG
12.6
.585
TS%
RPG
4.6
APG
1.2
0.7
TOV
2P%
.457
3PA
4.9
.417
3P%
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#30
I’m chugging the Jaylen Wells Kool-Aid: a lesser-known name who slipped through the cracks as a recruit and played two years of Division II hoops at Sonoma State before blossoming into a wonderful piece for Washington State as a transfer. His perimeter touch and defensive chops are sought-after attributes for complimentary-level NBA forwards. Multifaceted shooting arsenal consisting of spot-ups, pull-ups, and movement 3s. Quick, high release point draws empathic closeouts, which he often counteracts by flowing from shot-fakes into dribble-jumpers from the mid-range. Learning to create space by dropping his shoulder into the chest of defenders; a new move for Wells, but one that will enhance his scoring kit if expanded upon. Projectable defensive versatility, so long as he continues to put on muscle and maximize his physicality. Boasts desirable height for a wing and room to add strength within his frame. Functional live-ball playmaker who willingly makes the extra pass and rarely commits turnovers.
Propensity to abandon drives before getting all the way to the rim. When he does get two feet in the paint, he’s indecisive in pinpointing sources of defensive help and tight-roping passes to open shooters. Often pulls out of finishes, negating advantages created by him and his teammates. Needs to sharpen his activity and awareness off the ball on the defensive end. Disengages on the weak side and struggles to amass deflections in the passing lanes. Lacks wiggle as an isolation creator and the spacial awareness to operate within the confines of pick n’ rolls. *Must* continue his trajectory as a sharpshooter. Probably doesn’t do anything else well enough to consistently see the floor at the NBA level if he isn’t accentuating offensive spacing with his shooting gravity.
Diversified offensive toolkit as a scorer and facilitator. While not a lead guard, he’s an improvisational playmaker who can launch 3s and locate teammates on the move. One of the better pick n’ roll operators in this class—leverages his shot to get downhill and slings one-handed passes to rollers and spot-up snipers. Steadying offensive presence who’s tailor-made for a secondary ball-handling role. He plays at his own pace, processes defensive shifts at a high level, and manipulates quicker defenders with clever deceleration moves. Thrives in movement and contributes around the margins as a screener and cutter. Miami is a dreamy offensive fit, though I doubt he goes as high as 15 or falls as far as 43. Perhaps Boston drafts him into their reactive, motion-based offensive framework as a connector who perpetuates the advantages created by his teammates. Utah at 29 or 32 would be fun, where he can curl off screens and partner in DHOs with Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George. Robust positional size at almost 6'7" with a nose for attacking the defensive glass. Sure-handed touch around the rim. Lofts delicate finishes over rangy paint protectors to counter drop coverage.
Unexplosive athlete lacking vertical and lateral pop. Codependent creator who struggles to touch the paint without a brick-wall screen or pre-made advantage. Relies exclusively on finesse as a finisher in traffic, as he’s unable to elevate above the rim without a runway. Narrow defensive versatility: heavy-footed against guards, overpowered by forwards. Rebounding instincts don’t translate to his off-ball defense, as he rarely logs deflections and provides little impact as a weak-side rim protector in rotation. Almost 24 years old and likely nearing his long-term ceiling.
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WRAPPING UP ...
some closing remarks
So, where did I deviate?
Juggling personal insights with broader consensus is the single toughest element of cementing draft convictions. What if my takeaways from the tape differ from Jonathan Givony, Sam Veccine, and the other acclaimed draft gurus across the internet?
But that's what makes this process so fun! My mom, who hasn't watched a second of draft footage in her lifetime, could perhaps eclipse my board by picking names out of a hat. There's an inherent uncertainty and subjectivity that makes projecting both impossible and bewitching.
I've seesaw-ed on every prospect on here at some point in time, but with Draft-night forthcoming, my order is officially locked. If you made it this far in my Draft Journal, you either a) perused the list in its entirety or b) just scrolled down to the bottom of the page. Nonetheless, it should be fun to juxtapose the consensus rankings with some of my most differentiated opinions. The "composite rank" illustrates the average placement of a given prospect on three of the most mainstream draft sources: ESPN, The Athletic, and The Ringer.
I've preemptively purchased stock in the six names below—meaning, these are "my guys" from the class of '24, measured by the extent to which I deviated from the norm:
G Isaiah Collier - USC
My rank: 14
Composite rank: 20.3
WHY: I get the reluctance to Collier's unorthodox physical makeup and wavering three-point touch, but few prospects in this class can graze his playmaking upside. The coalescence of his burst, twitch, and handle is irrepressible in pressuring the paint and creating advantages. He'll need to learn the art of imposing his will within the confines of an NBA offense, but it's an investment worth taking with a mid-first-round pick.
C Yves Missi - Baylor
My rank: 17
Composite rank: 23.0
WHY: I think the masses are undervaluing the modernization of Missi's defensive toolkit. Bigs who can veer between switching, guarding at the level, and sinking into drop coverage against pick n' rolls are immunized to being played off the floor versus select matchups in high-leverage scenarios, provided they have a stable offensive niche. Missi is just that, and his athletic profile provides day-one value as a catch-and-finish specialist.
G Terrence Shannon Jr. - Illinois
My rank: 20
Composite rank: 28.7
WHY: A blazing hot, situationally dependent take floating around Twitter that I love: Shannon's name will be circulating Rookie of the Year talks eight months from now. This, of course, goes out the window if he's marginalized on a contender. But he's got the tantalizing,
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